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  • Fantasy Baseball: Free Agent Strategy
    By DSchwartz on April 13, 2009 | 1 Comment1 Comment  Comments

    If your fantasy leagues have waiver wire/free agent addition restrictions like all my leagues do, there is a strategy I like to attend to, and I’ll give you the reasoning. Most of my league-mates make fun of me for picking up an infinite amount of players as soon as possible and only having 5/10 additions allowed left by the season’s end. In a standard 12 team 5×5 Rotisserie League, we started off with 100 waiver moves allowed. This turned into 75, 60, and then 50. So I’ll focus on 50 free agency moves allowed. I think a good strategy is to use 75% (~37 free agents) of your waiver limit (if needed of course) in the first 2 months (even during or after the first month) of the season. I think you get a fantastic idea of how players are doing and what players have become and will stay hot ala Carlos Quentin and Nate McLouth (for ¾ of the season at least) in 2008. Most likely you won’t need to spend 75% of your free agent additions by this time, but I say don’t be scared wasting many of your additions by this point. Obviously, you should save 10-15% (~5-7 additions) of your waiver additions for the end of the season contingent on what statistics you may need, and this still allows you 10-15% (~5-7 additions) when you have certain player/positions go to the DL. If you think about it, most players that readily help a team won’t be there by season’s end other than top prospects called up to help a team (David Price in 2008) – I never said waste your waiver order on all these free agents. Make sure if you drafted last and you have the number 1 waiver spot, you save that for when a David Price-Type player in 2009 does become available (Tommy Hanson of the Braves if he lands a Starting/Closing Role) or an Evan Longoria-Type position player (Matt Wieters/Catcher from the O’s if he somehow is still available on your waiver-wire) becomes available.

    By using this strategy, you could have added free agents Mark Reynolds/3b, Carlos Quentin/of, Nate Mclouth/of, Alexei Ramirez/mi, and Evan Longoria/3b in 2008. Once a few starters get some innings under their belts and you’re hopefully looking at their whip and k/bb ratio, you could have landed Cliff Lee, Edinson Volquez, Kevin Slowey, and Scott Baker, or even Liriano by season’s end if you were quick enough. These guys helped in almost every pitching category. There’s still 2/3 category pitchers you could have had like Jamie Moyer (wins-16, era, whip) and Mile Pelfrey (wins-13, era) as well.

    Here is the following team that could have been drafted either very late or not at all and some potential 2009 breakout candidates per position:

    The 2008 All Fantasy Undrafted/Late-Drafted Fantasy Team (& 2009 Potentials):

    2008 Players Teams 2009 Players Teams
    c Mike Napoli laa c Matt Wieters/Ramon Hernandez bal/cin
    c Chris Ianetta col 17hr/70rbi (Even w/ limit Wieters-Time)
    1b Joey Votto cin c Ivan Rodriguez/Chris Snyder hou/arz
    2b Alexei Ramirez chw 1b Casey Kotchman/Billy Butler atl/roy
    3b Evan Longoria tb rbi opportunities should be there
    ss Mike Aviles roy 2b Mark Teahen roy
    ci Mark Reynolds arz 17hr/10sb in the 2-whole?
    mi Jose Lopez sea 3b Josh Fields cws
    of Carlos Quentin cws 25hr/5sb?
    of Nate McLouth pir ss Jed Lowrie/Khalil Greene bos
    of Nelson Cruz tex Greene Lineup Position & Lowrie’s BOS lineup
    of Jayson Werth phl ci Hank Blalock/Chad Tracy tex/arz
    of Jay Bruce cin Reynolds 230 average may lose out AB’s to Tracy
    u Chris Davis tex mi Chris Getz/Mike Fontenet cws/chc
    10hr/10sb candidates at MI is helpful
    p Cliff Lee cle of Ryan Spilboroughs col
    p Edinson Volquez cin everyday COL lineup
    p Baker/Slowey/Liriano min of Seth Smith col
    p Ricky Nolaso fla of Jason Kubel min
    p Ryan Dempster/Jamie Moyer phl/phl if Cuddyer/Young don’t steal AB’s
    p Mike Pelfrey nym of Daniel Murphy nym
    p Brad Ziegler/Joel Hanrahan oak/was 90r-16hr-75-rbi-9sb-285avg – POST TO COME
    p Brandon Morrow/Chad Qualls sea/arz of Jordan Schafer atl
    p George Sherril/Dan Wheeler bal/tb 15hr/15sb candidate. Needs Escobar’s Lineup Spot
    u Chris Dickerson/Matt Diaz cin/atl
    if either wins the everyday OF job
    p Phil Hughes nyy
    Wang/Pettite/Joba/Burnett/Sabathia Could get Hurt
    p Ubaldo Jimenez/Franklin Morales col
    Ubaldo: 12w-3.99era-172k’s
    p Braden/Cahill/Eveland oak
    Brandon Trevor Webb Cahill – 2010?
    p Anthony Reyes cle
    1.83era,1.25whip in 6 AL Starts (2008)
    p Paul Maholm pit
    3.71 era (2008)
    p Tommy Hanson/Kawakami atl
    Young & New Talent
    p Jose Arredondo/Manny Corpas laa/col
    If Fuentes/Street loses job
    p George Sherril/Chris Ray bal
    Either could win/keep/lose/or leave O’s w/out a CL
    p Jason Motte/Chris Perez stl
    Keep a watch – both have great ratios
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  • Pudge is an Astro
    By AstroGraham on March 17, 2009 | 1 Comment1 Comment  Comments

    Well, after Puerto Rico is done with the WBC, Ivan Rodriguez  will be headed to Houston, and after passing his physical, he will be the starting catcher for the Astros!

    This is great news, Pudge is a good defensive catcher, which makes our pitching staff better, and he has some power in his bat, contrary to last year’s drop off with the Yankees.

    He has hit 9 for 15 in the WBC with 2 homeruns and was named most valuable player out of the pool Puerto Rico was in.

    This is great news for the Astros and is certainly a boost to the team. Pudge will make 1.5 million bucks, with another 1.5 million in incentives for 1 year.

    Let’s hope USA knocks Puerto Rico out of the tournament tonight so Pudge can get the ball rolling on becoming an Astro.

  • Pudge an Astro??
    By AstroGraham on March 16, 2009 | 1 Comment1 Comment  Comments

    Well, it looks like I spoke too soon! Earlier I blogged about how great a fit Ivan Rodriguez would have been in Houston, but that Houston had publicly said there was no interest in signing him.

    That’s all changed, however, as the AP is now reporting that the Astros and Pudge are close to coming to terms on a 1 year deal worth around $1.5 million. Check out my previous post here on why Rodriguez is such a great fit and just the type of catcher the Astros need. A one year deal gives super prospect Jason Castro another year to refine his skills in the minors and develop into the super star he can become.

    Florida still has some interest, but it looks like Ivan is going to be an Astro for 2009!

    Nothing is official yet….

  • Astros and Pudge- A great match that won’t happen
    By AstroGraham on March 11, 2009 | 2 Comments2 Comments  Comments

    It’s no secret the Astros need a catcher for 2009. Sure, they have J.R. Towles and Humberto Quintero, but those guys are not great. Towles is young and was touted as having a big bat, and I was pretty excited going into last year that we had a good hitting catcher to replace Brad Ausmus. However, actually watching Towles play is a train wreck. He might have been called up too soon, but I just don’t see a productive year from him or Quintero offensively.

    What the Stros really need is a veteran to sign to a one year deal while they wait for super prospect Jason Castro to blossom in the minors and make his way up in 2010. Enter Ivan Rodriguez: A one year deal with Pudge would be just what the Astros need! He was a great hitter last year, hitting nearly .300 (.295) in Detroit with 5 Home runs and 6 stolen bases, just the sort of player the Astros need to bring up the bottom of the order. He tanked after being traded to the Yankees, and I have no explanation why, but I think he still has the skills to help out a team.

    The Astros have publicly said they do not wish to sign him, and it looks more and more like he will sign with the Marlins to back up John Baker,. I think the Astros are missing an opportunity to shore up a weak spot in the roster while waiting for their best prospect to develop.

    Who knows, maybe Towles turns it around and becomes the hard hitting catcher Houston fans thought they were getting. I’d love to hear your comments on this.

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