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Stay Away In 2009 – Bust #1 – Garrett Atkins

  • There are just too many problems regarding Garrett Atkins that dwarf his fantasy value out of the top ten rounds

    atkins1

    • A worsened Colorado lineup now without Matt Holliday will lead to less RBI opportunities
    • An imminent trade making room for Ian Stewart would take him out of a great hitter’s situation in Coors
    • Let’s take a look at his prior three-year trend:

     

    SEASON

     

     

     

    AB

     

    R

     

    H

     

    3B

     

    HR

     

    RBI

     

     

    BB

     

    SO

     

    SB

     

    OBP

     

    SLG

     

    AVG

    2006

    602

    117

    198

    1

    29

    120

    79

    76

    4

    .409

    .556

    .329

    2007

    605

    83

    182

    1

    25

    111

    67

    96

    3

    .367

    .486

    .301

    2008

    611

    86

    175

    3

    21

    99

    40

    100

    1

    .328

    .452

    .286

     

    • First, check out his declining plate discipline as his K:BB ratio has gone from about 1.0 to a pitiful 2.5 in the three-year span.
    • Also, take a look at his drop in power as his slugging percentage has plummeted steadily by 100+ points over the last three years.
    • While holding less significance, his speed has decreased since 2006 as well.

     

    At age 29, Atkins’ only real upside is his health.  Yes, he holds multiple position eligibility, but it’s first base!  Wait ten rounds and grab Carlos Guillen with a late round pick as he’ll most likely provide equal value.

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  1. #1 Jeffrey Gross says:
    February 23, 2009 at 2:07 pm

    Great point here, his performance is definately on the decline of late. Sounds like real solid advice.

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