Stay Away In 2009 – Bust #1 – Garrett Atkins
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There are just too many problems regarding Garrett Atkins that dwarf his fantasy value out of the top ten rounds

- A worsened Colorado lineup now without Matt Holliday will lead to less RBI opportunities
- An imminent trade making room for Ian Stewart would take him out of a great hitter’s situation in Coors
- Let’s take a look at his prior three-year trend:
SEASON
AB
R
H
3B
HR
RBI
BB
SO
SB
OBP
SLG
AVG
2006
602
117
198
1
29
120
79
76
4
.409
.556
.329
2007
605
83
182
1
25
111
67
96
3
.367
.486
.301
2008
611
86
175
3
21
99
40
100
1
.328
.452
.286
- First, check out his declining plate discipline as his K:BB ratio has gone from about 1.0 to a pitiful 2.5 in the three-year span.
- Also, take a look at his drop in power as his slugging percentage has plummeted steadily by 100+ points over the last three years.
- While holding less significance, his speed has decreased since 2006 as well.
At age 29, Atkins’ only real upside is his health. Yes, he holds multiple position eligibility, but it’s first base! Wait ten rounds and grab Carlos Guillen with a late round pick as he’ll most likely provide equal value.
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3 Comments
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February 23, 2009 at 2:07 pm
Great point here, his performance is definately on the decline of late. Sounds like real solid advice.
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