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Mets 1b/Trade Candidates
Well Carlos Delgado will have surgery and be out until around the All-Star break. Possible replacements that may possibly arrise via trade are Aubrey Huff/Orioles; Nick Johnson/Nationals; Victor Martinez/Indians; and maybe even Jorge Cantu/Florida if any of these guys are or become available. I can see all these teams saying they need 2 of the Mets top prospects, and I honeslty don’t think any of them except Victor Martinez warrant them, however, I would be willing to trade both if we can also land a SP in the deal ala Cliff Lee or Fausto Carmona (even though he hasn’t been great) from Cleveland; and Jeremy Guthrie (even though he hasn’t been great) from Baltimore. I doubt the Indians are willing to trade Victor Martinez and or Cliff Lee/Fausto Carmona so soon, but if so I would be willing to trade Fernando Martinez(of), Jon Niese(sp), Reese Havens or Wilmer Flores(ss) for BOTH Victor Martinez and Fausto Carmona or Aubrey Huff and Jeremy Guthrie, potentially. I think at catcher and 1b, Victor Martinez would be a dream fit, but Huff/Johnson would be less attractive becasue then what do we do when Delgado is back? I guess Huff could play LF again which moves Murphy to RF and then Church and Sheffield become unhappy or Murphy loses playing time which I would thoroughly disagree with. I guess Nick Johnson/Washington can come quite cheap since they also have Adam Dunn and a sundry of outfielders. I just strongly want to emphasize if we trade for a 1b then we should attempt to land a SP along with them if we rid of our top prospect(s). Agreed?
Some other random suggestions/potential candidates:
Russel Branyan/1b, Jose Lopez/2b, Erik Bedard/sp – Mariners… I think something could work here
Adrian Gonzalez/1b, Jake Peavy/sp – Padres… I wish something could work here
Jermaine Dye/of – White Sox (Move Murphy to 1b)…He’s solid but we really need a SP also
Matt Holliday/of – Athletics (Move Murphy to 1b)…May require way too much for thus far subpar performance
Helton/Atkins/1b – Rockies… Hmm, maybe Helton Could come cheap other than money cost?
All these guys are probably tradable minus Adrian Gonzalez, but they have a top notch 1b prospect.
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Trouble in DC?
Oh Manny Acta why is your bullpen so bad? The Washington Nationals bullpen is bad, that we know, but t is so bad it is on pace to obliterate the record for blown saves (34 is the record the “Natinals” are on pace to record 52 BS’s).
Acta sums up his problems with this hilarious quote: “We have tried everyone and their cousins…”.
Going forward I’m sure you figure out who’s the guy in DC to right this ship? The answer will be either Joe Beimel (He did blow the most recent save last night however) or Joel Hanrahan (Who has been surprisingly better as of late). I recommend staying away from the National pen. In fact even in the deepest of leagues I would rather get a set up guy on another team (Like Ramon Ramirez of the Red Sox who has more wins (4) than Beckett or Lester), then let the Nationals’ pen ruin my fantasy day.
But if you’re an ER chaser, add Beimel, he has more strike out potential, as well as the current faith of the manager.
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New FB RankingsBy DSchwartz on April 24, 2009 | 2 Comments
Notes: What I tend to do heavily in my rankings, unlike all the other rankings, is group players together based on their position/projection/potential. For example, in round 8/bubble I grouped together 4 cl (Brad Lidge and Jon Broxton as well as Matt Capps and Heath Bell). Broxton has had a great start and Lidge has had a rough one, but by season’s end the stats should be about the same. I also grouped together 6 sp (Rich Harden, Joba Chamberlain, Adam Wainwright, Yovani Gallardo, Josh Johnson, and Erik Bedard). These are all great sp’s with ?’s though – inning/injury concerns. Of course, I have 3+ weeks of the season now to include in my rankings (upping Zach Greinke and Josh Johnson on my list, but honestly guys like Carlos Quentin and Matt Kemp I already thought should be ranked where I have them), but here, I posted my rankings followed by a notes section [In the notes section, I’ve bolded the players that are in the referenced round]. Within the rankings, I bolded some guys I like and ranked higher than most others, and italicized others I didn’t like as much or ranked lower than others or have since been hurt.
Players: 1-48
Pos
Players 49-96
Pos
Hanley Ramirez
ss
Jon Papelbon
rp
Albert Pujols
1b
Rafael Furcal
ss
Jose Reyes
ss
David Ortiz
dh
David Wright
3b
Bobby Abreu
of
Miguel Cabrera
1b
Nate Mclouth
of
Ryan Bruan
of
Curtis Granderson
of
Chase Utley
2b
Corey Hart
of
Ian Kinsler
2b
Alexei Ramirez
mi
Grady Sizemore
of
Carlos Pena
1b
Ryan Howard
1b
Shane Victorino
of
Evan Longoria
3b
Jacoby Ellsbury
of
Jimmy Rollins
ss
Geovany Soto
c
Johan Santana
sp
Josh Beckett
sp
Josh Hamilton
of
Roy Oswalt
sp
Alex Rodriguez
3b
Chad Billinglsey
sp
Mark Teixeira
1b
Robinson Cano
2b
Justin Morneau
1b
Joey Votto
1b
Lance Berkman
of
Mariano Rivera
rp
Matt Kemp
of
Joe Nathan
rp
Nick Markakis
of
Ryan Ludwick
of
Carlos Beltran
of
Chone Figgins
3b
Alfonso Soriano
of
Dan Uggla
2b
Carlos Quentin
of
Joakim Soria
rp
Prince Fielder
1b
Francisco Rodriguez
rp
Tim Lincecum
sp
Magglio Ordonez
of
Manny Ramirez
of
Chipper Jones
3b
Kevin Youkilis
ci
Johnny Damon
of
Dustin Pedroia
2b
Carlos Delgado
1b
BJ Upton
of
Andre Ethier
of
Roy Halladay
sp
Michael Young
ss;3b
CC Sabathia
sp
Aubrey Huff
ci
Carlos Lee
of
Adam Dunn
of;1b
Dan Haren
sp
Chris Davis
ci
Matt Holliday
of
Joe Mauer
c
Aramis Ramirez
3b
James Shields
sp
Adrian Gonzalez
1b
Garret Atkins
3b
Jake Peavy
sp
Zack Greinke
sp
Brian Roberts
2b
Hunter Pence
of
Carl Crawford
of
Derek Jeter
ss
Brandon Phillips
2b
Felix Hernandez
sp
Ichiro Suzuki
of
Scott Kazmir
sp
Jason Bay
of
Jon Broxton
rp
Alex Rios
of
Brad Lidge
rp
Brandon Webb
sp
AJ Burnett
sp
Victor Martinez
c;1b
Derek Lee
1b
Cole Hamels
sp
Rich Harden
sp
Brian McCann
c
Joba Chamberlain
sp
Russel Martin
c
Raul Ibanez
of
Bubble:
Wainwright;Gallardo
sp
Jjohnson;Ebedard
sp
Hbell;Mcapps
cl
Ncruz;JBruce;AdJones
of
THunter;JDye;Vguerrero
of
Rzimmerman;Mreynolds
ss
Lilly;Cain;Vazquez;
sp
Sdrew;Ttulowitski
ss
Orlando Hudson
2b
Top 12/Round 1:
In 2009, I think Miguel Cabrera could break 37 homers and 127rbis he had last season. He’s already off to a hot start, batting .431 up to this point. With an increase in runs from 85 to about 100 and to me – a sure increase in batting average from .292 to about .315, I think Miguel Cabrera could be ranked above David Wright this year. Similarly, I see Ryan Braun breaking 40hr and 15sb. If his avg raises passed .300, and I think it will, he too, could surpass Wright because of the HR total, but obviously I would take Wright over both Miggy and Braun b/c of 3b eligibility – Is Miggy 3b eligible in your league though??? Chase Utley to me at 2b just beats out Ian Kinsler (2b) because of the RBI total. He’s healthy, and he’s already got 4hr and 2sb with 12r, 12rbi, and a .362avg. One guy who is absolutely on fire, and probably will stay that way if healthy for a full season, is 2b (position scarcity) Ian Kinsler. His line is already: 15r-5hr-16rbi-7sb-.381avg. Most projections call for about 25sb, but I didn’t see why he can’t break 30 (now 35) with a full season – 118r-26hr-84rbi-34sb-295avg anyone??? Like I said, I’d honestly rank him above Utley if it wasn’t for Utley’s rbis’s – and for that matter at 2b he could also be above Wright/3b, Miguel Cabrera/1b, and Ryan Bruan/of by year’s end. Kinsler had 23 and 26sb respectively in the past 2 seasons in 483ab’s and 518ab’s. With health, and in that lineup, he should approach 550ab’s, score a ton of runs, and should have a decent amount of rbi opportunities. Evan Longoria jumps into the first round again because of position scarcity (3b) over Josh Hamilton (of) and Mark Teixeira (1b). He’s already on fire batting 10r-5hr-16rbi-1sb-.386avg.
Round 2/Players 13-24:
There may be some surprises in round 2. Justin Morneau is so clutch, I just can’t rank him any lower. I think 27-30hr and 120rbi with 95r and 300+ avg is justified where I have him. Alex Rodriguez will miss time, but there’s no question he could still go 100-32-105-12-300. There is only 2 more sure thing 3b’s in Kevin Youkilis and Aramis Ramirez in the next 4 rounds (Chone Figgins, just there for speed and Chipper Jones is so injury prone I think he should be in round 7). The New-B’s here are Carlos Quentin (of) (who is already studding it up, and I have no idea why most projections were so low on him maybe batting avg. He’s got 7hr already); Matt Kemp (of) (don’t love his lineup spot, but still a great lineup with a lot more rbi opp’s and he’s such a great power-speed combo – already at 13r-3hr-14rbi-4sb-.362); Nick Markakis (of) (who would be first round material if he gets more than my projected 23-25hr and 9-12sb. He should hit 100-105r and 105-110rbi with a .307-.315avg.
Round 3/Players 25-36:
Tim Lincecum/Manny Ramirez/Dustin Pedroia/ BJ Upton are all still 2nd round material to me depending on if you like drafting one ace very early in Lincecum or stolen bases in Upton or position scarcity in Pedroia. Kevin Youkilis somehow remains underrated (especially because he’s 3b eligible). He contributes greatly to 4 categories: about 100-105r; 27-30hr; 109-115rbi; 3sb-4sb; .305-.315avg. I just don’t love Matt Holliday outside of Coors and in Oakland, but his 95/25/95/15 potential is still 2nd round material if that’s his line by season’s end. Aramis Ramirez could be ranked right before Kevin Youkilis or maybe early into round 4, but at 3b, I still love him in the Cubbies lineup.
Round 4/Players 37-48:
Ichiro Suzuki is sometimes ranked in the top 24, and his avg, runs, sb’s make him worth it there, but his lack of hr and rbi keep him down here for me. I’m usually doing fine with sb providers by now (say Kinsler/2b-27sb, Longoria/3b-11sb, Kemp/of-30sb) or (Wright/3b-18sb, Soriano/of-25sb, and Markakis/of-10sb) – that’s 68sb and 53sb respectively. If you end up with like: Howard/1b-1sb and Santana/sp, and Crawford (of) or Roberts (2b) are already off the board, than Ichiro can get bumped up if you think you’ll need the sb. I’d rather someone else and go for Shane Victorino/Jacoby Ellsbury in round 5 though. To me, Brian Roberts is Ichiro Suzuki at 2b, so Roberts is much more valuable to me. Some people still think Carl Crawford can approach 20hr in a season, and depending on his lineup spot he could knock in 85rbi, but in the 2-whole it looks like he should have a line of 90runs;10-12hr;70-75rbi;30-40sb;283-287avg, which will still justify this rank or even a little higher. I think by now he can be considered injury prone. I honestly think he has top third round potential, but every guy I have in round 3 just knocks him down to round 4. Brandon Phillips is great at 2b, and he’s a solid 4 stat contributor with a nice young lineup, but his average keeps him in round 4 to me. I like Cole Hamels and Brandon Webb here so long as they’re healthy because they symbolize the end of the 4 category top-notch fantasy aces (w,era,whip,k). Josh Beckett, Roy Oswalt, and Chad Billingsley are great, but Beckett’s era could be somewhat high as can Billingsley’s whip, and Oswalt looks to be slowing down a bit and striking out less batters although he was fantastic in the 2nd half of last year. I like the 3 catchers: Victor Martinez, Brian McCann, and Russell Martin here. McCann’s eye is a worry and Martin’s starting off somewhat slow, but by season’s end I think they’ll be worth it here. If the latter 2 slip into round 5, fine.
Round 5/Players 49-60:
I usually have top power guys (David Ortiz/Carlos Pena), top speed guys (Rafael Furcal/Shane Victorino/Jacoby Ellsbury), or power-speed combos (Nate McLouth/Bobby Abreu/Corey Hart/ Carlos Granderson) as well as position scarcity (Geovany Soto/c; Rafael Furcal/ss; Alexei Ramirez/2b-ss) all in round 5. Soto is just too good to let drop for a catcher. I could see him being a 4th rounder next year with another consistent year – similar to where McCann, Martin, and a healthy Victor Martinez are. I wouldn’t be surprised to see Victor Martinez, Brian McCann, Geovany Soto, Russell Martin, Joe Mauer, and Matt Wieters all go in round 4 next year. 12 players-6 catchers-1 round…Mark it (round 5 the latest).
Round 6/Players 61-72:
I love Joey Votto for his 7-10 sb and .290-300avg in addition to 24-28hr and 90-100rbi. I wouldn’t mind going with Robinson Cano here either at 2b in the Yankees lineup either. I love Cano slipping to round 7/8 because I think he can perform to the line of 90-95r;18-20hr;90-95rbi;4-5sb;.292-.302avg. Here, I like the 4 closers too: Mariano Rivera, Joe Nathan, Joakim Soria, and Francisco Rodriguez – all great 3 category pitchers with a good amount of k’s for relievers as well, however, personally I wait to draft closers and may look to draft 3 in a row, come round 13/14. Chad Billingsley is already showing why I have him ranked here with 4 wins and a 26:9 k:bb ratio, and a Dodger team that should be just as good for years to come. [Dodgers Lineup: Furcal-Hudson-Manny-Ethier-Loney-Kemp-Martin-Blake] – wow! If Billingsley keeps the whip down, he’ll jump to round 4/5 prior to Beckett and Oswalt. I don’t love Chone Figgins at 3b or Dan Uggla’s avg, but you can’t go wrong with Figgins’ sb’s and Uggla at 2b. Ryan Ludwick (already at 5hr and 16rbi, 1sb, and batting .370), after a great year last year, was way too underrated in this year’s drafts – the power and rbi’s should be there.
Round 7/Players 73-84:
Chipper Jones gets drafted much earlier, and at 3b, he’s so good, but he just doesn’t stay healthy enough for me to rank him higher. We should all know about Chris Davis’ potential by now (and flaws). Carlos Delgado could be Delgado of 2008-2nd half or 2008-1st half. I think he’ll go 33-35hr; 110-115rbi. Aubrey Huff was great again last year, and at 3b & 1b, I like him a lot with Brian Roberts, Adam Jones, and Nick Markakis in front of him. I like Garret Atkins enough to rank him in round 6 at 3b, but to me everyone above him as a little more potential/better power/better position scarcity ala Michael Young (ss;3b). Adam Dunn, Joe Mauer (c), and Andre Ethier are all solid options here as well. Dunn looks to be on a mission; I love Ethier batting clean-up in that Dodger’s lineup (and he should get you some sb’s with a nice avg.) I like James Shields and Zack Greinke (round 8 ) b/c each will have both good era’s and whip’s, where as the next few sp’s could have a high whip or era.
Round 8/9; Players 85-104:
Here, as you can see, I favor sp’s. I actually get my first ace in round 7 or 8 and then attempt to draft 3 or 4 in a row. Felix Hernandez and Scott Kazmir can have fairly high whips, while AJ Burnett can have a fairly high ERA, and as good as the next wave of SP’s are (Harden; Joba; Wainwright; EBedard; JJohnson; Gallardo), they all have question marks in some way (inning concerns, injury concerns, or not enough of a sample size). Derek Lee is in a solid lineup, but hit only 22 and 20 hr in the past 2 years. Without pop, and slowing down in sb as well, I can see him falling out of the top 9 rounds next year.
As I said in my notes section, I group players based on positioning/potential/and your statistical needs. I probably won’t rank the next 15 rounds only because I over/under-rate some players based on position, stats, and potential, and then I’d give away all my strategy.Feel free to question/criticize/comment.
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Gosh Bless Baseball – Jesus;Jesus;Pagan;ChurchBy DSchwartz on April 16, 2009 | 2 Comments
My wonderful wife showed me this story this morning: Yahoo News (http://news.yahoo.com/s/nm/20090415/lf_nm_life/us_usa_civilrights_baseball;_ylt=Aqd_qRmbM1UvuqQJA8qu4y4LMxIF) reported that a man was ejected from Yankee stadium during the August 26th (Yankees vs. Red Sox) game’s God Bless America song. He attempted to go to the bathroom, but stadium police did not allow this. The police did say that he was being unruly, smelled of alcohol, and they ejected him so others wouldn’t have to be subject to his behavior, however, as per Yahoo, an officer also said “if the [ejected fan] didn’t like this country, he should get out of ‘it’”. If true, this statment alone makes this story horrendous and absolutely despicable, and I don’t think I’ve ever actually written the word despicable down to explain anything.
I hope nothing like this ever happens again. It is unconstitutional – in state, in basketball, in school, and in baseball.
On a related (religious) and very funny note: I think it was last year on April 16th, a 14 or 15 inning game against the Washington Nationals- I’ve never seen so much religion in one AT-BAT. Jesus Colome of the Washington Nationals was pithing to Jesus Flores. Angel Pagan of the New York Mets was on 2nd base. Ryan Church was up at bat. Who won the game? It was a walk-off Base on Balls by none other than SHAWN GREEN – just kidding – it was Brian Schneider…Sounds Jewish though. haha.
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NL East Preview/Projections: Rankings,Rumors,Additions,Did you know?By DSchwartz on April 9, 2009 | 3 Comments
NL East Preview/Projection
*The NL East is the only division that can attempt to match the AL East with a lineup of…
Jose Reyes (ss-NYM)-With the epitome of range at SS and speed & OBP now at the top of the lineup
(120-17-68-60-295)
Chase Utley (2b-PHL)-The patience to be the perfect #2 hitter but the greatness to bat anywhere
(115-30-110-13-296)
Hanley Ramirez (lf-FLA)-Talent to bat leadoff or third & now he has Bonaficio and Maybin to drive in
(116-33-106-29-303)
Ryan Howard (1b-PHL)-HR & RBI leader of the MLB last year and again this year with a better AVG
(96-45-135-1-275)
David Wright (3b-NYM)-Has Reyes & Murphy in front and Beltran & Delgado behind; Got to love his line
(112-31-122-20-305)
Carlos Beltran (cf-NYM)-Batting 5th will hurt his runs but gold glove CF with power & speed combo
(92-26-115-22-279)
Brian McCann (c-ATL)-Great line at Catcher; Another year under his belt and less weight above his belt
(68-24-94-3-298)
Jimmy Rollins (dh-PHL)-Rather Reyes at SS & Hanley in LF, but I’ll take Rollins at DH against the AL East
(119-19-75-39-278)
Jeff Francoeur (rf-ATL)-Gun for an arm and a rebound year for our last OF spot
(77-22-90-3-269)
….and a rotation of:
Johan Santana (NYM)-18 straight starts without a loss and A NEW BULLPEN – 20+ wins?
(20-2.85-1.15-209)
Cole Hamels (PHL)-Same fastball/changeup repertoire that BAFFLES hitters; Health issues?
(16-3.19-1.09-194)
Derek Lowe (ATL)-Durable. That’s all I have to say, but with all his groundouts, he would probably be effective even with Colorado, or Texas.
(14-3.75-1.25-140)
Ricky Nolasco (FLA)-Still underrated? Doubt it, but he’ll be almost as good this year.
(14-3.84-1.21-171)
Josh Johnson (FLA)-Better k-rate than Nolasco with Worse WHIP, but stud if healthy.
(14-3.65-1.33-175)
…and a solid bullpen of Brad Lidge(38sv), Francisco Rodriguez(42sv), JJ Putz(6sv), Mike Gonzalez(30sv), Matt Lindstrom(23sv), Joel Hanrahan(25sv) and let us not forget about ambidextrous Billy Wagner pitching with determination and for another contract later in the year.
*Breaking down the NL East by position and using a sample rank system, I came up with the following (as objectively as possible):
c: McCann(atl-5) – Really no other C in the NL East can compare
1b: Ryan Howard(phl-5pts); Carlos Delgado(nym-4pts); Jorge Cantu(fla-3pts); Adam Dunn(was-3pts); Casey Kotchman(atl-2pts) - Howard is the clear favorite; A somewhat offensive bounce-back from Kotchman is in place; Delgado, Cantu, and Dunn should all be solid again; Cantu is definitely still underrated with Bonifacio, Maybin sometimes, and Hanley Ramirez in front of him.
2b: Chase Utley(phl-5pts);Dan Uggla(fla-3pts);Kelly Johnson(atl-2pts); Luis Castillo(nym-1pt) – Castillo can be an effective 2b still at the 8-spot in the Mets lineup; Kelly Johnson can go 85-17-75-9-287 with maturity and confidence. Obviously, the Nationals have a 2nd baseman in Anderson Hernandez/Ronnie Belliard – I just don’t think they’re worth writing about.
3b: David Wright(nym-5pts); Chipper Jones(atl-4pts); Ryan Zimmerman(was-3pts) Emilio Bonifacio (fla-3pts) – Chipper does deserve 5 points along with Wright if he could just stay healthy enough; If Bonifacio sticks to leadoff he can be a runs and sb stud; and Zimmerman should have a 85-20-85-5-285 line. His defense is fantastic and he has potential for 85-25-95-5-290. Pedro Feliz isn’t worth ranking albeit solid defense.
ss: Hanley Ramirez(fla-5pts); Jose Reyes(nym-4pts); Jimmy Rollins (phl-4pts); Yunel Escobar(atl-2pts) – I wanted to give 5 points to both Rollins and Reyes as well, but It’s true that Hanley is in an offensive class all by himself since he’ll have lots of rbi opportunities this year; I personally think Reyes can belt 19 home runs this year, but 16hr + 60sb is beautiful with a stellar .293-.297 avg.
lf: Raul Ibanez(tilde over the n)(phl-5pts); Daniel Murphy(nym-4pts); Matt Diaz(atl-3pts); Josh Willingham (was-2pts) – I love Daniel Murphy batting 2nd in the Mets lineup. I think a very healthy 90-17-75-7-286 is very possible; Ibanez will be stellar there in the Phillies Lineup; Matt Diaz with playing time can be very good. Along with Brian McCann, he slimmed down a bit.
cf: Carlos Beltran(nym-5pts); Shane Victorino(phl-4pts); Cameron Maybin(fla-3pts); Lastings Milledge(was-2 pts); Jordan Schaeffer (atl-2pts) – Jordan Schaeffer is young and good. He’s already got 2 hr this year. He could switch with Kelly Johnson/Yunel Escobar for the top of the lineup if slow starts occur for either of the 2 or when Chipper sits (which will be enough) and Omar Infante is in the lineup. I think he can be good for 17hr-15sb. Maybin should bat 2nd but may find himself at the bottom of the lineup enough to hurt. His lineup spot should have the following breakdown: 50% batting 8th, 35% batting 2nd; and 15% batting lead-off. A line of 85-15-65-25-269 seems great for where he went in drafts; Like I said prior, Beltran will lose out on runs and protection batting 5th, but he should bat 4th enough against lefties when Delgado bats 5th.
rf: Jeff Francoeur(atl-5pts); Jayson Werth(phl-4pts); Jeremy Hermida(fla-2pts); Elijah Dukes-Austin Kearns(was-2pts); Church-Sheffield(nym-2pts) – Hermida was regarded very highly just a few years ago, and the rbi opportunities are there. He could get time batting 2nd as well. I actually like him for a line of 75-18-75-6-260; Werth should be very good when healthy since right field is his. I see 24hr-15sb due to injury concern; Platoons and split-time between the Mets and Nationals right field situations should yield above average numbers. The difference between them and Francoeur however is obviously not nearly as great between say Chase Utley at 2b and Ronnie Belliard at 2b so I think they deserve 2 pts to Francoeur’s 5 pts.
sp1: Johan Santana(nym-5pts); Cole Hamels(phl-5pts); Derek Lowe(atl-4pts); Ricky Nolasco(fla-4pts)
sp2: Josh Johnson(fla-5pts); Javier Vazquez(atl-3pts); Brett Myers(phl-3pts); Maine/Pelfrey/Perez (nym-3pts) – To me, Josh Johnson is clearly the best #2 starter here with the other 3 teams having fairly similar numbers at the #2 rotation spot. The thing with the Mets is I’m not sure who the #2 will be by year’s end – same for their number 3 and 4 starters, and I’m a Mets Fan; Brett Myers Could be good at times and a mess at others. I think he’s better than Moyer this year (even though Moyer may be ageless the way he pitches) so I’ll put him here and Moyer in the 3-whole.
sp3: Jair Jurjjens(atl-4pts); Jamie Moyer(phl-3pts); Maine/Pelfrey/Perez(nym-3pts); Volstad(fla-3pts)
sp4: Joe Blanton(phl-4pts); Kenshin Kawakami(atl-3pts); Maine/Pelfrey/Perez(nym-3pts) – I think Kawakami can be as effective as the teams’ other #4’s since no one has seen him.
sp5/Minor League P call-ups: Tommy Hanson(atl-4pts); Jordan Zimmerman(was-3pts); Carlos Carrasco(phl-3pts); Jon Niese(nym-1pts) – the Phillies, Nat’s, and especially the Braves have a future Ace or #2 in the whole, while the Mets, to me have a future #4. I think the Phillies will need Carrasco quicker than the Mets need Niese or Braves need Hanson, but Hanson is the best among the new wave of NL East Starters. Jordan Zimmerman could and should put up better than league average numbers in his first season.
P.S. Livan Hernandez will be horrendous for the Mets. Hopefully they sign Pedro Martinez or Jon Niese and Tim Redding can be effective enough. However, I do see a deadline SP deal for the Mets, which comes later in the post.
closer: Brad Lidge(phl-5pts); Krod(nym-5pts); Mike Gonzalez(atl-3pts); Matt Lindstrom(fla-2pts); Joel Hanrahan(was-2pts)-Krod and Lidge will be great again. Gonzalez is underrated and can save 35 games without Rafael Soriano getting a chance. Tommy Hanson could get some opportunities if both Gonzalez and Soriano are unhealthy, but I think they’ll keep him as a SP as he sores to the Majors. Lindstrom can be very good with his 100mph fast ball and slider so long as he stays healthy. Per pitch, he was the hardest thrower in the majors last year, and let’s not forget about Jon Broxton/LAD or Joel Zumaya/DET.
setup: JJ Putz(nym-5pts); Rafael Soriano(atl-2pts) – If Krod goes down, the Mets should still be OK because of JJ Putz - just OK. JC Romero of PHL could have been here if he didn’t get suspended for substance abuse, but hey thanks for helping the Phillies win the World Series and thanks for playing in the World Baseball Classic. Horrendousness.
Figure 1.0: Results
nym
phl
atl
fla
was
c
1
1
5
1
3
1b
4
5
2
3
1
2b
1
5
2
3
1
3b
5
1
4
3
3
ss
4
4
2
5
1
lf
4
5
3
1
2
cf
5
4
2
3
2
rf
2
4
5
2
2
sp
5
5
4
4
1
sp
3
3
3
5
1
sp
3
3
4
3
1
sp
3
4
3
1
1
sp
1
3
4
1
3
rp
5
5
3
2
2
rp
5
1
2
1
1
51
53
48
38
25
Point-Breakdown:
*Obviously, this is a very basic statistical way (almost a weight system) of ranking the NL East, but still feasible. Those not ranked, still received 1 pt for the contingent positions. The above system ranks each team as follows: Phillies (53pts) Mets (51pts) Braves (48pts) Marlins (38pts) and of course lastly, the Nationals (25pts). So here, the Phillies rank 1st. However, there are definitely contingencies this year, such as how the Braves play against the Phillies. They were 4-14 against the Phillies last year. The Braves rotation with Lowe, Vazquez, Kawakami, and Hanson later on in the season, will be much much better, and their offense should pick up quite a bit as well. Most Importantly – The Mets. They had the 3rd most blown saves last season with 29 (Both the Cardinals and Mariners had 31). The additions by subtractions and additions by great additions/call-ups (Krod, Putz, Sean Green, Brian Stokes, Bobby Parnell) should subtract at least 15 of those 29 blown saves – and probably many more!!! All three referenced NL East teams need to watch out for the Marlins, but I don’t think they have the bullpen and rotation depth to compete for 162 games in the 2nd best division in the Major Leagues for 2009.
Mets Trade Rumors:
*Lastly, there will always be trade rumors throughout the season, and at the deadline. It may be more intense this year than last due to the economy, and some non-competing teams may be very willing to rid of their expensive talent. I think the Mets will be big players in a sundry of discussions – mainly with the Blue Jays, Mariners, and potentially the Padres. I think Erik Bedard (sp) along with Jose Lopez (2b), Roy Halladay (sp), as well as Jake Peavy(sp) would be fantastic additions after Johan Santana in the Mets Rotation. Another interesting difference this year, can be the Mets POTENTIAL willingness to trade Fernando Martinez, the Mets top OF prospect since they found a stud in Daniel Murphy. I think an offer like Fernando Martinez(of), Jon Niese(sp), and either a Reese Haven(ss) or Brad Holt(p) + Nick Evans (of) could potentially help us land a Roy Halladay or Erik Bedard. If we can land Jose Lopez for 2b along with Erik Bedard, I don’t see how the Mets wouldn’t easily win the NL East.
Mets Roster Additions:
*I think Sheffield was actually a good right-handed bat of the bench for the New York Mets, and
can be a great platoon with Ryan Church (left-handed). Livan Hernandez/sp just won’t be effective anymore, and the Mets should attempt to woo Pedro Martinez for 1 year at 2.5 million.
*2009 NL East Projections: (Honestly I think the Phillies and Braves are Interchangeable)
1- New York Mets (91-71)
2- Philadelphia Phillies (88-74) – WC
3- Atlanta Braves (87-75)
4- Florida Marlins (85-77)
5- Washington Nationals (63-99)
*Very Early 2009 MLB Playoffs Projections:
Mets vs. Dodgers
Phillies vs. Cubs
NL Championship: Mets vs. Cubs
WS Championship: Mets vs. Red Sox
WS Champions: Red Sox
AL Championship: Boston vs. Yankees
Red Sox vs. Angels
Yankees (WC) vs. Twins
Did You Know:
Did you know in college, Mike Lieberthal had a Homerun Cycle – He hit a grand slam, a 3-run homerun, a 2-run homerun, and a solo shot. I read this on the back on his 1991 Topps Rookie Card! Amazing!!!
Did you know – The founder of this Site, Jeff Gross’, Favorite player was [LAD/TEX/ANA/TOT/CHC/SEA/SAN/FLA Pitcher] Ismael Valdez. Fantastic.
Also Fantasy-eers – Don’t forget Brandon Inge/c-3b on the Tigers is eligible at CATCHER! But make sure you have Pujol’s avg on the team, b/c Inge will hurt that badly!
RIP Nick Adenhart. Best wishes to the Angels (no corny joke), his friends, and most importantly, his family.
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Mets Fall To Nationals and to 3-4 in STBy Jeffrey Gross on March 4, 2009 | No Comments
So the Mets fell to the Nationals today…and the only bright spots were a few with the Mets bats. Castro hit a 3-Run bomb, which is a great sign. The pitching however….not so great. Livon and Pelf both struggles giving up 3 Runs apiece.
Mets Batting: The Mets scored four runs in the fifth inning. Ramon Castro highlighted the frame with a three-run home run, and Fernando Tatis also hit a solo home run.
Mets Pitching: Right-hander Mike Pelfrey pitched three innings and gave up three runs on five hits, and Livan Hernandez also pitched three innings, giving up three runs on five hits.
Stay tuned for more Mets ST Results!
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Washington National Outfield Decisions – MilledgeBy Jeffrey Gross on February 16, 2009 | No Comments
Even though the Nationals are filled with talented outfielders, Manager Manny Acta already made up his mind and appointed Lastings Milledge as the regular center fielder.
Last season was a good year for Milledge; playing everyday in the big league, hitting .268 along with 14 home runs and 61 RBIs.
“We have a center fielder. Lastings played the whole season there last year,” Acta said.Acta and the rest of his coaching staff must now decide on who will be designated as left and right fielders: Adam Dunn, Elijah Dukes, Austin Kearns and Josh Willingham are potential candidates to play the said positions.
Adam Dunn earlier this week inked a two-year $20 million contract, will now be playing each and every day, although he could find himself playing first base. That is if Nick Johnson is not in good shape, or is traded elsewhere.
Constantly healing due to serious injuries, Dukes, Kearns and Willingham are expected to be in their best shape when exhibition season starts.
“We are going to have six weeks of Spring Training,” general manager Jim Bowden said.“We are going to look at the health of all our players. I don’t think you can determine that in early March. I think it’s going to be late March before you can determine how healthy they are.
No. 2, you have to look at the performance of players beyond the health. Third is a trade option. Do we have an opportunity to make a deal and make our team better? Certainly, we have depth.”


